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Time for Washington to Take a Realistic Look at China Policy(三)

as of may 2003,china was still sellingmissile components and technology toiran.the united states responded by placing economic sanctions on china north industriescorporation (norinco ),one of china's largest arms manufacturers,which directlyhalted over $100million in chinese exports to the united states.55

  on july 3,2003,the bush administration im-posed economic sanctions onfive other chinese firms for assisting iran's weapons programs.as the new yorktimes noted ,"it did so even as american officials were meeting with a seniorchinese diplomat,trying to coax beijing into forcing north korea to dismantleits nuclear program."56

  again ,on july 30,the state department an-nounced further sanctions onchinese firms for aiding iraq's nuclear weapons program.the state department spokesmanexplained ,"we think it's the responsibility of the chinese government to imposethe kind of controls and regulations to ensure that it stops this kind of activitythat it's proliferating."57

  news reports said that the state department had levied additional sanctionson chinese firms as of september 18.58the cia's most recent public assessment ofchina's proliferation behavior says that "chinese entities remain key suppliersof wmd and missile-related technologies to countries of concern"and adds that theevidence "during the current reporting period continues to show that chinese firmsstill provide dual-use cw [chemical weapons]-related production equipment and technologyto iran."59

  beijing's support for north korea also apparently includes nuclear weapons assistance.in october 2002,the new york times ,washington post,washington times ,andwall street journal published separate articles alleging that china was ,directlyor indirectly ,complicit in the transfer of pakistani uranium-enrichment technologyto north korea.60

  in fact ,china has been north korea's nuclear enabler for over a decade.eveninto 2003,beijing has continued to supply north korean laboratories with chemicalsneeded to separate plutonium from spent fuel.61the chinese government also continuesto permit north korean aircraft to overfly chinese airspace to deliver dangerousmissile ,nuclear,and chemical contraband to iran and elsewhere.62

  myth #5:maritime tensions are easing.

  for the past half-century ,american naval vessels and surveillance aircraft,in innocent passage ,have patrolled international waters and airspace in the westernpacific.in recent years,chinese forces have harassed these u.s.craft.in late1994,the uss kitty hawk carrier battle group twice encountered chinese submarines,and subsequently fighter aircraft ,in international waters in the yellow sea,but china resisted u.s.requests to develop rules of engagement or an "incidentat sea"agreement until late 1997after the first jiang-clinton summit.63

  yet ,when a u.s.-china military maritime consultative agreement (mmca)wasfinalized in 1998,the chinese continued to ignore it.

  in april 2001,a chinese warplane struck an american reconnaissance aircraftflying in international airspace,and china refused all american attempts to opena channel of com-munication as called for in the mmca.in the summer of 2001,andagain in late 2002,chinese ships and aircraft harassed the usns bowditch and theusns sumner ,two american naval oceanographic ships ,in international waters.64well into 2003,chinese fighter jets continued to harass american reconnaissanceaircraft,in at least one case coming within 90meters.65in june 2003,chinesejets shadowed a japanese antisubmarine warfare plane over international waters.66this behavior undoubtedly reflects a new chinese policy of assertiveness in theinternational waters of the western pacific.in february,xinhua news agency reportedthat china would "expand its maritime surveillance and control rights from 50nauticalmiles (nm)to 100nm by the year 2010and further expand its jurisdiction to theentire 200nm exclusive economic zone by the year 2020."67it is clear that ,despiteits accession to the united nations convention on law of the sea(unclos),chinaconsiders the 200nm exclusive economic zone(eez ),rather than waters within12nm of shore,as "territorial seas."68

  with the passage of china's first national "administrative regulation on uninhabitedislands"on july 1,2003,china served notice that it intended to be more aggressivein asserting its claims to landforms and reefs in the south china sea.the headquartersof the general staff of the people's liberation army announced the regulations onjune 17,along with the warning that "china's island administration had ,fora long time ,been relatively weak ,and disorderly exploitation of uninhabitedislands"had "posed a threat to national defense and military security."in otherwords ,the fact that china had not asserted its claims in the past should notbe taken as precedent.69

  even earlier,in january 2003,american press reports said that china hadadopted new statutes prohibiting foreign military "survey and mapping"operationsin the eez.in response ,an american official was quoted as saying,"we havecontinued to maintain over the years that our military surveys are a high-seas freedomand are not subject to restrictions placed within any eez."70although the u.s.has not ratified the 1982unclos,it does consider military and non-commercialstate-owned ships immune from foreign jurisdiction(as per unclos ,articles 58and 59)and considers all surveillance and survey activities for non-commercialpurposes to be legitimate outside foreign territorial waters;i.e.,beyond the12nm limit.71

  also in january 2003,beijing's zhongguo qingnian bao(china youth news)reportedthat china's maritime patrol service had "effectively responded"72against incursionsinto chinese "territorial seas"by american and japanese ships and aircraft andspecifically charged the usns bowditch and usns sumner with engaging in unauthorizedmilitary mapping activities.

  on july 1,2003,the headquarters of the general staff department of thepeople's liberation army,together with the state oceanic administration (soa ),issued new regulations protecting uninhabited islands around the base points ofchina's territorial waters.this includes all of the disputed islands and reefsin the south china sea and prohibits activities that might damage these islands.the regulations require all "organizations and individuals"to apply for approvalif they want to use the islands.73the chinese were swift to begin enforcement ofthe rules.

  on july 11,chinese patrol ships seized five taiwanese fishing boats that wereoperating in the open sea more than 129km from the southeast coast of china.thechinese accused the taiwanese boats of infringing on china's economic exclusionzone.although the taiwanese ships were operating far from china's coast,chinaclaims a 200nautical mile economic exclusion zone,which covers the entire taiwanstrait.74

  there may not be a way to bridge the gap between china's demands that americanmilitary and non-commercial government vessels first gain chinese authorizationto conduct maritime surveillance in waters within 200nm of chinese landfall underarticles 246and 248of the unclos and the u.s.demands for "freedom of access"on the high seas.75but given the chinese government's extensive territorial claimsin the south china sea,in the ryukyu chain,and on taiwan,china's actions promisefriction not only with the u.s.in the coming years ,but also with all other nationsin the asia-pacific region with overlapping maritime claims.76

  myth #6:china's human rights situation is improving.

  china's citizens today enjoy increased economic freedom as a result of the communistparty's attempt to retain some legitimacy.however,there has been no substantiveimprovement in china's human rights or civil liberties since the tiananmen squaretragedy of june 1989.virtually all movement forward has been accompanied by a stepor two backward.

  the 2003annual report of the congressional-executive commission on china revealsthat the changes beijing has made in its legal process have had little impact onthe state of human rights in the country.china still has no freedom of speech orof the press,in addition to which its judicial system is plagued by corruptionand its massive repression of religious movements and non-state-run organizationscontinues unabated.the country continues to enforce its invasive family planninglaws and does very little to protect women's rights.despite the legal frameworkit has built to protect women's rights,once again ,the implementation has beenweak.

  chinese officials are not held accountable for their actions.as explained byassistant secretary of state kelly,"china remains a one-party system where thepeople who rule and who make the rules are by and large not accountable to the generalpopulation."77during 2002,beijing appeared to be taking steps to improve itshuman rights record and address some international concerns.the country releaseda number of dissident prisoners and even extended an invitation to the u.n.specialrapporteurs on torture and religious intolerance and the u.n.working group on arbitrarydetention.later in the year,however,the government arrested democracy activists,put labor leaders on trial for "subversion,"and imposed death sentences on twotibetans without due process.78

  in early 2003,china began to focus on constitutional development ,therebyencouraging citizens to engage in discussions of constitutionalism.the governmentquickly grew concerned with the tone of the discussions ,however,and prohibitedtalk of political reform in the media and among academics.additionally ,during2002,the government continued its "strike hard"campaign against crime.the maincrimes targeted were dissent and separatism.as a part of this campaign ,chineseofficials are reported to have executed over 4,000people,often without due process.amnesty international reported that china carried out more executions than all othercountries combined.79

  for example ,in october 2003,a young tibetan political prisoner died soonafter being moved from prison to a hospital ;80a young turkistani political prisonerdeported from nepal in 1999was sentenced to death by a chinese court ;8112undergroundroman catholic priests and seminarians were arrested in central china ,and anunauthorized roman catholic church was bulldozed to the ground;82a lawyer whohelped a group of shanghai residents sue a prominent real estate developer was sentencedto three years in prison;83and a chinese court charged a former high school teacherwith trying to subvert the government by posting tracts on the internet.84

  the chinese government still does not permit nongovernmental organizations tomonitor human rights conditions.it also refused to permit the united nations highcommissioner for refugees (unhcr )to operate along its border with north koreaand deported thousands of north koreans ,many of whom face imprisonment or worsein the dprk.responding to reports that the u.s.government urged the u.n.investigatorof torture to visit china ,a chinese foreign ministry official claimed that theviews were based on "arrogance and prejudices."85

  myth #7:china's military expansion is normal.

  for over a decade ,china has massively increased defense spending.the pentagonestimates that total chinese defense spending ranges from $45billion to $65billionper year,making china's military budget the second largest in the world afterthat of the united states.moreover ,the pentagon sees additional double-digitdefense budget growth as likely ,at least through the 10th five-year plan (2001-2005)。WWw.11665.COM86

  the department of defense assesses that china's military has improved in a numberof important areas that will pose a major threat to taiwan.this includes a reviseddoctrine of preemption and surprise :

  chinese doctrine is moving toward the goal of surprise,deception,and shockeffect in the opening phase of a campaign.china is exploring coercive strategiesdesigned to bring taipei to terms quickly.87

  in the event china takes taiwan by force,it wants to work fast in order topreclude u.s.intervention.88according to the department of defense report ,muchof china's increased defense spending is on missiles,both short-range and long-range.in july 2003,china had 450short-range ballistic missiles ,and factory outputindicates that this number will increase by over 75missiles per year for the nextfew years.all of china's known short-range missiles are deployed opposite taiwan.

  china has also improved its military training and joint operations.china'smilitary expansion and treatment of the u.s.as an adversary in its military exercisessuggest that the country still poses a challenge to america's interests in the pacificand is a significant threat to the security of taiwan ,a democracy that the u.s.has carefully nurtured over 50years.america would be loath to allow a communistdictatorship to take taiwan by force.89

  given the exigencies of international politics,the u.s.support of the taiwanpeople's right to determine their own future softened during the wen visit.90thispolicy has not stabilized the taiwan-china balance.just the opposite :it hasemboldened china to step up its missile deployments and drive taiwan's leaders toever more insistent declarations that taiwan is independent from beijing.91

  what washington should do strengthen ties with japan and australia the key topeace and stability in the asia-pacific region is not china ,but rather a strongalliance with japan and australia.in 2000,george w.bush ran on a platform thatcalled for a major change in managing relations with china:"a misguided policytoward china was exemplified by president bill clinton's trip to beijing that producedan embarrassing presidential kowtow and a public insult to our longstanding ally,japan."92during his first weeks in office,president bush saw china as a strategiccompetitor,and the catharsis of the hainan incident on april 1,2001,beliedthe value of the clinton "engagement"policies.

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